PAN-cODE: COVID-19 forecasting using conditional latent ODEs.
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused millions of deaths around the world and revealed the need for data-driven models of pandemic spread. Accurate pandemic caseload forecasting allows informed policy decisions on the adoption of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce disease transmission. Using COVID-19 as an example, we present Pandemic conditional Ordinary Differential Equation (PAN-cODE), a deep learning method to forecast daily increases in pandemic infections and deaths. By [...]
Author(s): Shi, Ruian, Zhang, Haoran, Morris, Quaid
DOI: 10.1093/jamia/ocac160