Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Hospital Census: Application to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit.
Accurate prediction of future patient census in hospital units is essential for patient safety, health outcomes, and resource planning. Forecasting census in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) is particularly challenging due to limited ability to control the census and clinical trajectories. The fixed average census approach, using average census from previous year, is a forecasting alternative used in clinical practice, but has limitations due to census variations.
Author(s): Capan, Muge, Hoover, Stephen, Jackson, Eric V, Paul, David, Locke, Robert
DOI: 10.4338/ACI-2015-09-RA-0127