A logistic model for age-specific COVID-19 case-fatality rates.
To develop a mathematical model to characterize age-specific case-fatality rates (CFR) of COVID-19. Based on 2 large-scale Chinese and Italian CFR data, a logistic model was derived to provide quantitative insight on the dynamics between CFR and age. We inferred that CFR increased faster in Italy than in China, as well as in females over males. In addition, while CFR increased with age, the rate of growth eventually slowed down [...]
Author(s): Gao, Xiang, Dong, Qunfeng
DOI: 10.1093/jamiaopen/ooaa025